The Timken Company (TKR)

New York Stock Exchange
USD
US8873891043
21 February 1973  –  11 October 2024

Performance

Annualized Return
7.57%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Maximum Drawdown
-66.82%

Metrics

Metric The Timken Company
Initial Balance $10,000
Final Balance $434,945
Returns   [View more details]
Month-To-Date -0.3%
Year-To-Date 6.1%
3M 5.94%
6M -2.27%
Annual Return (3Y) 9.27%
Annual Return (5Y) 16.4%
Annual Return (All) 7.57%
Risk   [View more details]
Annual Volatility 32.5%
Max Drawdown -66.82%
Sharpe Ratio 0.39
Sortino Ratio 0.57
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.4

  • Initial balance: The amount of starting capital used to invest in the asset or portfolio. In this case, we're starting with a $10,000 investment on February 1973.
  • Final balance: The amount of capital we've accrued over time as of October 2024.
  • Annual return: Also known as annualized return, or CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), measures how much an investment has increased on average each year, during a specific time period. The time period in this case is approximately 52 year(s). Even a small difference in return can have a big impact on the final balance over a long period of time.
  • Annual volatility: Basically indicates how much, in percentage points, the investment can deviate from its annual return, under most circumstances. An investment with an annual return of 5% and an annual volatility of 10% would indicate returns from approximately -5% to 15% most of the time. A lower volatility is usually preferred to ensure more steady returns over time.
  • Best year: The best performance attained over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Worst year: The worst performance undergone over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Max drawdown: The largest percentage drop from a peak to a trough of an asset or portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period.
  • Sharpe Ratio: The Sharpe ratio measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. A Sharpe Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Sortino Ratio: The Sortino Ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that only penalizes the investment for negative volatility/outcomes, and not for positive volatility. A Sortino Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Adjusted Sortino Ratio: Sortino Ratio/√2. To allow for comparing the Sortino ratio to the Sharpe ratio, we multiply the risk measure of the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2 (which is the same as dividing the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2).
  • Ulcer Index: The Ulcer Index (UI) is a technical indicator that measures downside risk in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines.
  • Gain to Pain Ratio: The sum of all returns divided by the absolute value of the sum of all negative returns. In essence, the GPR shows the ratio of net returns to the losses incurred in getting those returns.

Annualized Returns

Annual Return 1y Annual Return 3y Annual Return 5y Annual Return 10y Annual Return 20y Annual Return
The Timken Company 16.87% 9.27% 16.4% 10.63% 12.41% 7.57%

Annual Returns

Year The Timken Company
1973 -20.67%
1974 -24.14%
1975 49.5%
1976 43.24%
1977 -3.77%
1978 -2.45%
1979 2.52%
1980 18.63%
1981 7.03%
1982 -21.62%
1983 27.59%
1984 -19.69%
1985 -11.72%
1986 -1.65%
1987 41.67%
1988 20.44%
1989 -19.72%
1990 -21.14%
1991 15.71%
1992 15.73%
1993 30.95%
1994 7.88%
1995 11.6%
1996 22.89%
1997 53.41%
1998 -43.59%
1999 12.36%
2000 -22.61%
2001 11.6%
2002 21.28%
2003 8.47%
2004 32.7%
2005 25.81%
2006 -7%
2007 14.94%
2008 -14.07%
2009 24.07%
2010 104.46%
2011 -17.47%
2012 26.07%
2013 17.04%
2014 10.42%
2015 -31.06%
2016 43.2%
2017 26.77%
2018 -22.18%
2019 54.69%
2020 40.35%
2021 -9.03%
2022 3.91%
2023 15.36%
2024 6.1%

The Timken Company had 34 positive years and 18 negative years. That's a positive ratio of 65%.

Monthly Returns

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
1973 - -1.8% -3.4% -7.4% -5.2% 2.2% 4.7% -9.9% 10.2% 6.9% -18% 2.4% -20.7%
1974 4.2% -2.2% -2.6% -6.2% -2.9% -0% -8.9% -6.1% 2.5% 3.4% -5.1% -2.5% -24.1%
1975 16.7% -0.4% 11.7% -5.8% 9.9% 6.8% 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 5.9% 0.3% -8.4% 49.5%
1976 25.7% 14.5% -8% -4.9% 4% 18.6% -2.2% -4.9% 2.6% -8.7% -0.8% 6.5% 43.2%
1977 -1.2% -3.3% 1.5% 3.4% -0.5% 2.8% -2.1% -3.3% -1.2% -9.1% 10.3% -0% -3.8%
1978 -8.8% -9.7% 8% 6.9% 5.7% -2.7% -4.3% 7.9% -6.3% -4.2% 3% 4.5% -2.5%
1979 5.5% -2.4% 10% 4.2% 1.7% 4.8% -2.2% -0% 1.2% -17.7% -0.5% 0.5% 2.5%
1980 9.6% -4.3% -7% -8% 6.6% 4.6% 8.6% 4.7% 10.8% -0.4% 4.1% -9.2% 18.6%
1981 -0.2% 9.7% 7.9% 2.8% -0.9% 1.2% -6.8% -6.9% -8.8% 1.1% 10.6% -0.8% 7%
1982 -7.5% -9% 0% 0.2% -4.8% -5.8% -7.7% 4.4% -4.8% 3.6% 4.6% 4.1% -21.6%
1983 1% -0.5% 7.8% 6.6% 12.2% 1.5% -10.9% -2.5% 3.5% -3.3% 5.2% 6.2% 27.6%
1984 -1.7% -8.6% -8% 7% -1.8% -5.8% 0.9% 4.9% -0.2% -2.2% -3.4% -1.7% -19.7%
1985 -4.3% 1.8% 1.7% -2.9% -1.3% -4.1% 7.4% -2.6% -4.1% -9.6% 5.5% 1.1% -11.7%
1986 -1.7% 0.6% 14.1% -2.5% 6.1% -6.5% -16.7% 3.1% -3.3% 9.7% 0.6% -1.7% -1.7%
1987 22% 10.3% -8.2% 1.2% 21.2% -4.8% 14.2% 12.4% -1.3% -33.3% 3.8% 12.1% 41.7%
1988 -0.4% 15.2% 6.4% 6% 1.7% -0.2% -12.4% -8.7% 3.2% -7.8% 2.8% 17.4% 20.4%
1989 7.8% -5.6% -2.4% 2.9% 4.8% -8.7% 4.7% 3.8% -10.1% -10.2% -14% 8.8% -19.7%
1990 -1.4% 2.7% 9% 1.2% 17.6% -12.5% -3.6% -11.2% 0.9% -21.4% 10% -8.2% -21.1%
1991 21.9% 2.4% -0.5% -6.7% 14% -5.9% 7.3% 6% -6.5% -4.6% -6.8% -1.6% 15.7%
1992 7.4% 2.9% 4.8% 0.9% 6.4% -5.6% 2.3% -0.4% -8.6% -0% 10.4% -4.1% 15.7%
1993 11.8% 1.3% 0.8% 4.2% 2.4% 4.7% 2.3% -2.2% -9.9% 8.4% 1.2% 3.9% 31%
1994 8.6% -1.7% -7.7% 3.8% -3.3% 0% 6.5% 12.2% -3.2% -7.3% -6.8% 9.3% 7.9%
1995 -7.8% 11.3% -1.1% 13.7% 5% 9.5% -1.1% -0.5% -5.5% -5.6% 1.1% -5.3% 11.6%
1996 8.2% 9.5% 2.5% -14.1% 0.1% -1.6% -5.5% 4.6% 3.3% 13.7% 2.8% 0.3% 22.9%
1997 12.6% 2.3% 2.2% 8.6% 18.7% 3.6% -1.2% 7.1% 7% -16.4% 6.3% -3% 53.4%
1998 -6.2% 0.6% 4.9% 18.1% -5.1% -17.9% -24% -22% -17.1% 17.8% 9.1% -2% -43.6%
1999 14.9% -17.7% -8.1% 37.3% -7.1% -5.2% -15.4% 7.5% -8.2% 11.2% 7.6% 6.9% 12.4%
2000 -20.2% -11.2% 13.5% 13.9% 2.9% -1.3% -4.4% -7.4% -16.1% 2.7% -3.2% 12.6% -22.6%
2001 8.2% -1.1% -2.2% 9.3% 4.6% -4.3% -1.6% -9% -8.7% -1.7% 6.2% 14.1% 11.6%
2002 2.6% 9% 28.6% 15.4% -15.5% -0.3% -10.6% -7.9% -8.3% 8.8% 9.7% -3.8% 21.3%
2003 -9.4% -6.6% -2.6% 13.3% -6.8% 6.9% -12.6% 10.1% -8.7% 10.1% 2.9% 17.1% 8.5%
2004 9.9% 0.3% 5.7% -5% 4% 16.2% -6.2% -5.9% 5.9% -2.5% 8.9% 0.1% 32.7%
2005 -1% 10.5% -3.4% -9.1% -4.8% -1.7% 14.6% 11.6% 0.9% -4.3% 9.8% 3.4% 25.8%
2006 13% -20.3% 12.5% 8.2% -9.5% 6.6% -3.9% -0% -7.1% 0.9% -0.5% -1.9% -7%
2007 -2% 0.5% 6.1% 8.8% 7.1% 2.7% -7.5% 7% 4.5% -10.5% -3.6% 3% 14.9%
2008 -8% 0.2% -1.4% 21.6% 1.8% -10.1% 0.2% -1.6% -12.3% -21.8% -7.4% 35.3% -14.1%
2009 -24.2% -17.1% 14.6% 15.2% 5.7% 1% 19.3% 4.1% 11% -6% 12.4% -3.9% 24.1%
2010 -5.5% 17.5% 14.4% 17.2% -17.8% -9.7% 29.4% -2.3% 17.3% 8% 5.6% 9.6% 104.5%
2011 -1.5% 4% 7.4% 7.8% -8.1% -2.4% -13.4% -9.4% -16.6% 28.3% 0.2% -7.9% -17.5%
2012 26.1% 7.8% -3.2% 11.4% -15.2% -4% -20.9% 11.6% -7.5% 6.3% 14.8% 6.2% 26.1%
2013 12.1% 1.7% 4.2% -7.1% 8.4% -0.9% 3.8% -3.7% 7.7% -12.6% -1.6% 6.4% 17%
2014 2.3% 7.6% -2.6% 7.3% 2.2% 5.6% -8.8% 2.8% -6.4% 1.4% 0.1% -0.3% 10.4%
2015 -10.9% 12.4% -0.8% -6.8% 0.2% -6.5% -8.7% -4.1% -13.4% 15% 2.9% -11.3% -31.1%
2016 -7.1% 13.3% 12.3% 6.4% -6% -7.8% 9.1% 2% 3.8% -6% 19% 1.7% 43.2%
2017 11.8% 0.1% 2.3% 6.8% -3.8% 0.2% -1.6% -0.8% 8.3% -2.9% 6.5% -1.5% 26.8%
2018 6.9% -16.2% 4.1% -6.3% 11.3% -7.9% 13.1% -0.6% 2.5% -20.7% 2.2% -7.1% -22.2%
2019 14.1% 2.5% 0.5% 9.9% -7.7% 16.7% -11% -11.5% 8.3% 12.6% 7.9% 7.1% 54.7%
2020 -6.7% -14.2% -27.9% 16.2% 14% 6.9% 0.4% 19.3% 0.1% 10.1% 23.5% 5.3% 40.4%
2021 -2.2% 4% 3.6% 3.3% 5.8% -8.9% -1.4% -7.1% -11% 8.5% -6.8% 5.3% -9%
2022 -3.6% -1.4% -7.4% -5% 6.5% -13.1% 23.2% -3.2% -6.3% 20.8% 7% -7% 3.9%
2023 16.5% 4.1% -4.4% -6% -6.5% 27.9% 1.5% -17.4% -3.8% -6% 5.2% 10.7% 15.4%
2024 2.2% 3% 4.1% 2.1% -2.3% -7.8% 8.5% -2.4% -0.3% -0.3% - - 6.1%
Pos 52.9% 59.6% 58.8% 69.2% 57.7% 42% 42.3% 41.2% 42.3% 45.1% 72.5% 58% 65.4%
Avg 3.1% 0.5% 2.2% 4.2% 1.5% -0.5% -1% -0.5% -2.1% -0.8% 3.2% 2.6% 10.7%

Other Return Metrics

Metric The Timken Company
Cumulative Return 4249.45%
Enh Ann Return 9.88%
Best Year 104.46%
Worst Year -43.59%
Best Month 37.31%
Worst Month -33.33%
Best Day 21.55%
Worst Day -20.03%
Win Ratio (Yearly) 65.38%
Win Ratio (Quarterly) 55.29%
Win Ratio (Monthly) 53.3%
Win Ratio (Daily) 50.35%

Annual Volatility

Annual Volatility 1y Annual Volatility 3y Annual Volatility 5y Annual Volatility 10y Annual Volatility 20y Annual Volatility
The Timken Company 26.41% 31.7% 39.55% 34.7% 38.72% 32.5%

Sharpe Ratio

Sharpe Ratio 1y Sharpe Ratio 3y Sharpe Ratio 5y Sharpe Ratio 10y Sharpe Ratio 20y Sharpe Ratio
The Timken Company 0.72 0.44 0.58 0.47 0.5 0.39

3-Year Rolling Sharpe Ratio

The rolling Sharpe Ratio gives a clue about the continued consistency or stability of the risk-adjusted returns.

Drawdown Periods

Simply said, a drawdown is the "pain" period experienced by an investor between a peak (new highs) and subsequent valley (a low point before moving higher). In the table below are the fifth largest drawdowns encountered for the portfolio/asset in question.

The Timken Company

Start Valley End Days Drawdown
1998-05-05 1998-10-06 2005-12-22 2788 -66.82%
2008-06-06 2009-03-06 2010-01-07 580 -61.52%
2020-01-10 2020-03-18 2020-09-15 249 -58.26%
2014-07-03 2016-01-20 2017-04-24 1026 -51%
1981-06-22 1982-08-12 1987-08-06 2236 -47.76%

The The Timken Company took approximately 46 months on average to recover from a major drawdown. The longest drawdown lasted 93 months.

Underwater plot

The underwater plot shows you the drawdown periods on a chart. Whereas the performance chart usually gives you a positive viewpoint, the underwater plot gives you a pessimistic viewpoint. It helps you to visualize downtrends that occurred and how long it took for the portfolio's value to rebound to hit a new high after suffering a loss.

Other Risk Metrics

Metric The Timken Company
Sharpe Ratio 0.39
Sortino Ratio 0.57
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.4
Calmar Ratio 0.11
Omega Ratio 1.07
Gain to Pain Ratio 0.07
Ulcer Index 0.27
Kelly Criterion 3.5%
Skew 0.28
Kurtosis 8.8
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