Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio

New York Stock Exchange
USD
4 January 1984  –  11 October 2024
Compare with
S&P 500 (US Large Cap) (SP500.X)

Performance

Annualized Return
8.2%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
10.99%
S&P 500 (US Large Cap)
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
0.66
S&P 500 (US Large Cap)
Maximum Drawdown
-57.28%
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
-55.19%
S&P 500 (US Large Cap)

Metrics

Metric Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio S&P 500 (US Large Cap)
Initial Balance $10,000 $10,000
Final Balance $249,528 $702,601
Returns   [View more details]
Month-To-Date -1.02% 1.01%
Year-To-Date 6.28% 22.71%
3M 0.8% 3.25%
6M 5.71% 13.1%
Annual Return (3Y) 0.2% 11.58%
Annual Return (5Y) 4.21% 16.08%
Annual Return (All) 8.2% 10.99%
Risk   [View more details]
Annual Volatility 21.11% 18.28%
Max Drawdown -57.28% -55.19%
Sharpe Ratio 0.46 0.66
Sortino Ratio 0.96 0.93
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.68 0.66

  • Initial balance: The amount of starting capital used to invest in the asset or portfolio. In this case, we're starting with a $10,000 investment on January 1984.
  • Final balance: The amount of capital we've accrued over time as of October 2024.
  • Annual return: Also known as annualized return, or CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), measures how much an investment has increased on average each year, during a specific time period. The time period in this case is approximately 41 year(s). Even a small difference in return can have a big impact on the final balance over a long period of time.
  • Annual volatility: Basically indicates how much, in percentage points, the investment can deviate from its annual return, under most circumstances. An investment with an annual return of 5% and an annual volatility of 10% would indicate returns from approximately -5% to 15% most of the time. A lower volatility is usually preferred to ensure more steady returns over time.
  • Best year: The best performance attained over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Worst year: The worst performance undergone over its lifetime in a given year.
  • Max drawdown: The largest percentage drop from a peak to a trough of an asset or portfolio, before a new peak is attained. Maximum drawdown is an indicator of downside risk over a specified time period.
  • Sharpe Ratio: The Sharpe ratio measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. A Sharpe Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Sortino Ratio: The Sortino Ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that only penalizes the investment for negative volatility/outcomes, and not for positive volatility. A Sortino Ratio above 1 is considered good.
  • Adjusted Sortino Ratio: Sortino Ratio/√2. To allow for comparing the Sortino ratio to the Sharpe ratio, we multiply the risk measure of the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2 (which is the same as dividing the Sortino ratio by the square root of 2).
  • Ulcer Index: The Ulcer Index (UI) is a technical indicator that measures downside risk in terms of both the depth and duration of price declines.
  • Gain to Pain Ratio: The sum of all returns divided by the absolute value of the sum of all negative returns. In essence, the GPR shows the ratio of net returns to the losses incurred in getting those returns.

Annualized Returns

Annual Return 1y Annual Return 3y Annual Return 5y Annual Return 10y Annual Return 20y Annual Return
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 15.76% 0.2% 4.21% 5.15% 6.56% 8.2%
S&P 500 (US Large Cap) 34.22% 11.58% 16.08% 13.91% 10.68% 10.99%

Annual Returns

Year Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio S&P 500 (US Large Cap) Won
1984 6.8% 2.43%
1985 23.24% 22.6%
1986 14.6% 9.3%
1987 2.26% 4.69%
1988 9.09% 16.27%
1989 19.55% 31.4%
1990 3.12% -3.35%
1991 16.48% 30.2%
1992 6.47% 8.21%
1993 11.13% 8.81%
1994 -2.81% 0.4%
1995 27.6% 38.05%
1996 6.6% 22.5%
1997 14.06% 33.48%
1998 13.62% 28.69%
1999 5.49% 20.39%
2000 8.92% -9.74%
2001 -2.93% -11.76%
2002 7.37% -21.58%
2003 13.03% 28.18%
2004 8.85% 10.7%
2005 8.14% 4.83%
2006 7.5% 15.85%
2007 11.85% 5.15%
2008 2.59% -36.8%
2009 1.95% 26.35%
2010 12.45% 15.06%
2011 16.27% 1.89%
2012 6.59% 15.99%
2013 1.09% 32.31%
2014 13.32% 13.46%
2015 -2.97% 1.23%
2016 6.22% 12%
2017 11.79% 21.71%
2018 -2.81% -4.57%
2019 18.26% 31.22%
2020 15.17% 18.33%
2021 9.11% 28.73%
2022 -18.1% -18.18%
2023 9.95% 26.18%
2024 6.28% 22.71%

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio had 36 positive years and 5 negative years. That's a positive ratio of 88%.

S&P 500 (US Large Cap) had 34 positive years and 7 negative years. That's a positive ratio of 83%.

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio had a better yearly return 34% of the time compared to S&P 500 (US Large Cap).

Monthly Returns

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
1984 0.4% -1.6% -0.3% -0.8% -3.9% 1% 1.9% 4.9% 1.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.3% 6.8%
1985 3.9% -2.4% 2.8% 0.6% 6% 0.9% -0.8% 1.3% -0.5% 3.5% 4.2% 2% 23.2%
1986 -0% 6.3% 5.6% -0.1% -0.7% 2.3% -1.8% 5.7% -3.8% 2.2% 1.5% -2.9% 14.6%
1987 4.9% 1.4% 1% -1.7% -0.2% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% -2.3% -5.5% -2% 2.5% 2.3%
1988 3.3% 1.4% -1.2% -0.2% -0.3% 2.7% -1% -1.1% 2.5% 2.6% -1% 1.3% 9.1%
1989 2.8% -1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.7% -0.9% 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 19.6%
1990 -3.6% 0% -0.1% -2.2% 4.9% 0.5% 1.3% -3.3% 1.2% -0.3% 3.3% 1.7% 3.1%
1991 0.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% -2% 2.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.9% -1.3% 6.1% 16.5%
1992 -1.9% 0.6% -1.3% 1% 1.7% 0.3% 3.4% -0.5% 1.4% -1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 6.5%
1993 1.7% 2% 1.2% -0.1% 1.2% 1.9% 0.9% 2.5% -0.3% 0.9% -1.7% 0.5% 11.1%
1994 2.5% -3% -3.1% -0.4% 0.7% -0.9% 2.4% 0.4% -2% 0.9% -1.3% 1.2% -2.8%
1995 2% 2.8% 1.6% 2% 4.7% 1% 0.4% 1.3% 2.3% 1.4% 2.9% 2.3% 27.6%
1996 1.2% -2.3% -0.1% -0.5% 0.3% 1.2% -1.9% 0.2% 3.3% 2.9% 4.3% -2.1% 6.6%
1997 0.8% -0% -2.6% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 5.3% -2.9% 3.2% 0.4% 1% 1% 14.1%
1998 1.8% 1.1% 1.8% 0.8% -0.5% 2.4% -1.3% -2.8% 4.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 13.6%
1999 1.6% -3.5% 2.3% 1.9% -2.5% 1.8% -1.1% 0.3% 1.4% 1.5% 0.6% 1.4% 5.5%
2000 -0.6% 1.6% 3.5% -1.5% 0.1% 2.7% -0.8% 4.1% -2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 1.1% 8.9%
2001 0.8% -2.2% -2.3% 1.7% -0.1% -0.7% 1.4% -0.4% -1.5% 2.3% -1% -0.8% -2.9%
2002 0.1% 1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% -0.9% -0.6% 3.8% 0.8% -0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 7.4%
2003 -0.1% 1.3% -1.6% 2.9% 5.9% -1% -4.1% 2.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 3.2% 13%
2004 1.4% 2.1% 1.2% -4.7% 0.7% 0.7% -0.1% 2.4% 1.4% 1.6% 0.4% 1.6% 8.9%
2005 0.6% 0.6% -0.6% 1% 2.1% 1.5% -0.5% 2.3% -0.6% -2.4% 2.1% 2% 8.1%
2006 1% 0.1% -1% 0.8% -1.2% 0% 1.6% 1.7% 1% 1.6% 2.7% -1.1% 7.5%
2007 0% 1.6% -0.4% 2% -0.2% -1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 11.9%
2008 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% -0.2% 0.1% -1.4% 0.3% -2.4% -8.4% 6.1% 8% 2.6%
2009 -8% -4.2% 4.5% -0.4% 2.4% -0.5% 3.1% 1.8% 2.7% -0.7% 4.3% -2.5% 2%
2010 -0.2% 1.4% 0.8% 2.6% -0.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 2.1% -0.2% -0.7% 1% 12.5%
2011 -0.7% 2.4% 0.3% 3.1% 0.7% -2% 2.5% 3.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1% 1% 16.3%
2012 2.3% 0.3% -1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.8% 2.5% 1% 0.1% -1.3% 0.8% -1% 6.6%
2013 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.8% -2.7% -2.8% 1.6% -1.2% 1% 2.2% -0.3% -0.1% 1.1%
2014 1.7% 2.4% 0.2% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% -0.8% 3.3% -2.3% 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 13.3%
2015 3.7% -1.4% -0.5% -0.7% -0.8% -2.3% 1.1% -2% -0.1% 2.4% -1.2% -1% -3%
2016 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 4.2% 1.5% -0.7% -0.2% -2.7% -3.1% 0.6% 6.2%
2017 1.3% 2.1% -0.5% 1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% -0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 11.8%
2018 0.6% -2.8% 0.6% -0.6% 1.8% 0% 0.2% 1.5% -0.8% -3.7% 0.7% -0.2% -2.8%
2019 3.4% 0.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.4% 3.5% 0.5% 4.4% -0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 18.3%
2020 3.1% 0.3% -1.2% 4% 1.1% 1.1% 4.8% -0.2% -1.3% -2.5% 3.9% 1.5% 15.2%
2021 -1.8% -1.3% -0.9% 3.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 0.7% -2.5% 3.8% -0.2% 1.6% 9.1%
2022 -2.8% -0.6% -0.7% -6.1% -0.4% -3.9% 3.3% -3.7% -7.2% 0.5% 5.4% -2.8% -18.1%
2023 5.6% -3.8% 4.1% 0.8% -1.8% 2% 0.8% -1.9% -5% -2.4% 7% 4.9% 10%
2024 -0.4% 0.4% 2.4% -3.7% 3% 2% 2.3% 1.8% -0.4% -1% - - 6.3%
Pos 75% 65.9% 56.1% 63.4% 63.4% 73.2% 68.3% 68.3% 51.2% 65.9% 72.5% 75% 87.8%
Avg 0.9% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 8.5%

Other Return Metrics

Metric Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio S&P 500 (US Large Cap)
Cumulative Return 2395.28% 6926.01%
Enh Ann Return 8.66% 12.87%
Best Year 27.6% 38.05%
Worst Year -18.1% -36.8%
Best Month 8.03% 13.27%
Worst Month -8.43% -21.73%
Best Day 113.26% 14.52%
Worst Day -56.06% -20.46%
Win Ratio (Yearly) 87.8% 82.93%
Win Ratio (Quarterly) 78.66% 73.17%
Win Ratio (Monthly) 66.33% 64.9%
Win Ratio (Daily) 54.91% 54.37%

Annual Volatility

Annual Volatility 1y Annual Volatility 3y Annual Volatility 5y Annual Volatility 10y Annual Volatility 20y Annual Volatility
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 126.9% 73.81% 57.45% 40.83% 29.32% 21.11%
S&P 500 (US Large Cap) 12.43% 17.55% 20.87% 17.61% 19.02% 18.28%

Sharpe Ratio

Sharpe Ratio 1y Sharpe Ratio 3y Sharpe Ratio 5y Sharpe Ratio 10y Sharpe Ratio 20y Sharpe Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio 0.62 0.3 0.3 0.29 0.34 0.46
S&P 500 (US Large Cap) 2.43 0.71 0.82 0.83 0.63 0.66

3-Year Rolling Sharpe Ratio

The rolling Sharpe Ratio gives a clue about the continued consistency or stability of the risk-adjusted returns.

Drawdown Periods

Simply said, a drawdown is the "pain" period experienced by an investor between a peak (new highs) and subsequent valley (a low point before moving higher). In the table below are the fifth largest drawdowns encountered for the portfolios/assets in question.

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio

Start Valley End Days Drawdown
2021-12-28 2024-09-06 - 1018 -57.28%
1987-08-17 1987-10-19 1988-11-03 444 -14.51%
2008-05-21 2008-11-12 2008-12-30 223 -14.36%
2008-12-31 2009-03-03 2009-09-17 260 -13.78%
2020-03-09 2020-03-18 2020-06-10 93 -13.33%

The Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio took approximately 14 months on average to recover from a major drawdown. The longest drawdown lasted 34 months.

S&P 500 (US Large Cap)

Start Valley End Days Drawdown
2007-10-10 2009-03-09 2012-08-16 1772 -55.19%
2000-03-27 2002-10-09 2006-10-26 2404 -47.52%
2020-02-20 2020-03-23 2020-08-10 172 -33.72%
1987-08-26 1987-10-19 1989-05-19 632 -33.08%
2022-01-04 2022-10-12 2023-12-13 708 -24.5%

The S&P 500 (US Large Cap) took approximately 38 months on average to recover from a major drawdown. The longest drawdown lasted 80 months.

Underwater plot

The underwater plot shows you the drawdown periods on a chart. Whereas the performance chart usually gives you a positive viewpoint, the underwater plot gives you a pessimistic viewpoint. It helps you to visualize downtrends that occurred and how long it took for the portfolio's value to rebound to hit a new high after suffering a loss.

Other Risk Metrics

Metric Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio S&P 500 (US Large Cap)
Sharpe Ratio 0.46 0.66
Sortino Ratio 0.96 0.93
Adjusted Sortino (S/√2) 0.68 0.66
Calmar Ratio 0.14 0.2
Omega Ratio 1.24 1.13
Gain to Pain Ratio 0.24 0.13
Ulcer Index 0.05 0.14
Kelly Criterion 10.75% 6.46%
Skew 52.73 -0.67
Kurtosis 5419.77 20.48
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